2026-27 · Regular Season · Final

Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · tip-off 7:30 PM ET

CHA 3–5@BKN 1–6 records going into the game NBA.com recap ↗

Each team's share of the floor is its pregame win probability. The line starts at midcourt and moves to the split.

Team	Projected	Final	Difference
CHA Charlotte Hornets	108	104	−4
BKN Brooklyn Nets (home)	103	114	+11

Forecast: Charlotte Hornets to win, 61% win probability, projected margin 5.

Inside the Forecast

How the inputs are built

No saved inputs are stored with this game's forecast.

The result against the forecast

2026-27 surprise games

39%

pregame chance the forecast gave BKN, the winner

the forecast favored CHA

15 pts

margin miss

forecast −5, actual +10 for BKN

27th

most surprising result of 2026-27

of 146 graded games so far

42nd

largest margin miss of 2026-27

outcome surprise 0.93 nats

Surprise is measured against this model's forecast, not against what other observers expected. Outcome surprise is −ln(winner's pregame probability): 0.69 for a coin flip, 2.3 for a 10% winner.

Team box score

What happened in the game. These numbers are not used by the forecast, and they are not offered as the reason it missed.

Team stat	CHA	BKN
Final score	104	114
Field goals	31–77 · 40.3%	40–79 · 50.6%
Three-pointers	12–40 · 30.0%	14–37 · 37.8%
Free throws	30–36 · 83.3%	20–28 · 71.4%
Rebounds	41	38
Assists	20	25
Turnovers	17	11
Steals	6	8
Blocks	4	3

How the model does with these teams over time: Charlotte Hornets · Brooklyn Nets

Where the forecast differed from the result

Measure	Forecast	Actual	Actual − forecast
Home margin (BKN)	−5	+10	+15
Total points	211	218	+7
CHA points	108	104	−4
BKN points	103	114	+11

Injury report

Official NBA injury report, 2026-11-04 17:30 ET (the latest stored report before the forecast was saved). Two-way and G League assignments are omitted. The model counts players listed Out or Doubtful; Questionable players are treated as available.